Saturday, December 22, 2012
Friday, December 14, 2012
Tuesday, November 6, 2012
Sunday, November 4, 2012
My Ballot:
[ ] Conservative Romney
[ ] Moderate Romney
[ ] Liberal Romney
[ ] Barack Obama
[ ] Some weird Libertarian
[ ] Moderate Romney
[ ] Liberal Romney
[ ] Barack Obama
[ ] Some weird Libertarian
Thursday, November 1, 2012
Monday, October 22, 2012
Mitt at the final debate:
- He mostly agrees with Obie without knowing it.
- Tough-talk that lacked details (a typical pattern for him).
- He mugged a boy-scout on the way to the debate and stole his pledge book for quotes.
- Flunked geography.
- Misses the 80's.
Monday, September 3, 2012
Friday, August 3, 2012
Mitt's Screwy World Trip
William J. Bennett gets it all wrong trying to defend Mitt Romney's recent overseas trip, in which he offended a wide variety of people and cultures.
"Critics of Romney often patronize him for sounding too scripted and too much like a politician. Now, when he speaks openly and freely, they criticize him for not being enough of a politician or diplomat. They can't have it both ways."
No, you speak "openly and freely" at home about our country, not about other countries and peoples. If it's none of your business, then shut the heck up.
Saturday, July 28, 2012
The Penn Bain Way
If Mitt ran USA like Bain, he'd run up debt, charge USA huge "management fees", let it go bankrupt, sell it to China and Saudi Arabia, kick us out of our houses, and then sell our houses to the highest international bidders.
Monday, July 23, 2012
WSJ Internet Invention Spin-Job
On the July 23rd, 2012 print edition of
the Wall Street Journal, page A11, L. Gordon Crovitz claims that the
Internet is mostly the result of private research and investment,
countering Obama's statement about its government roots. Typical of
Murdoch products, it's full of half-truths, textual manipulation, and
borders on outright lies.
The Internet is a combination of
technologies developed over time, and private firms did indeed have a
role in its evolution. But the majority of the Internet technology
development was directly or indirectly related to government funding
from the US and other governments around the world.
The most glaring fault of the article
surrounds ARPANET, a military project. Crovitz quotes Robert Taylor,
who was part of the ARPANET program of the 70's and 80's. "ARPANET
was not an Internet. An Internet is a connection between two or more
computers", Taylor allegedly stated. While technically true
perhaps, it misses the point of ARPANET's role in history. ARPANET
pioneered the use of "packet switching" to send data
packets in partitioned chunks with routing and ID info in order to be
"reassembled" on the receiving end.
This differed from the old way of
having direct lines of communication for the bits. Chunk-ifying the
data gives more flexibility to work around high-traffic and defective
spots on a network. It's almost comparable to using trucks versus
trains. While trains are good at high-volume transport between a few
fixed points, they are not flexible if you have many different
destinations. (Data terminals, which are a kind of remote computer
monitor, were one early use of ARPANET.)
Whether or not this "is" the
Internet is secondary to the fact that the Internet is heavily based
on packet switching. Murdoch's, I mean Crovitz's complaint is almost
like saying early rockets didn't matter in the history of rockets
because they "never reached space". His reason for
dismissing it is very weak. Packet switching is arguably the most
important part of the Internet technologies. Ethernet (below) had
decent alternatives, but packet switching was new and unique. It's
not the standard that stands out, it's the technique itself.
The article correctly points out that
Ethernet, another part of Internet technology, was developed at
Xerox, the private copier corporation. However, it was inspired by
ALOHAnet, which came from the public University of Hawaii. (It seems
building time-travel devices to forge Hawaiian birth certificates takes
cutting-edge technologies.)
Crovitz's other Xerox references
relating to graphical interfaces and early PC's are mostly tangential
to the Internet, but still misleading regardless. For example, he
failed to credit university research on Ivan Sutherland's "light
pen" based graphical user interface work, and Douglas
Engelbart's invention of the mouse at Stanford. Stanford was also
instrumental in testing and developing hypertext.
Much of early graphical interface
research was motivated by military command and control centers, which
wanted faster ways to visualize and select ("point to")
various radar targets on the screen. The Air Force SAGE system is an
early example.
Many of the World Wide Web protocols
and language techniques were developed as part of CERN, The European
Organization for Nuclear Research, a government organization.
Here is a copy of the very first
web-page:
The Internet and the World Wide Web are
technically two different things, actually; but in practice most
consider them closely related. Further, the Australian government
under CSIRO developed some key parts of WiFi technology that we
commonly use in our homes to allow multiple devices to connect to the
internet.
Eventually the Internet was
commercialized as Crovitz points out, but that's irrelevant to
Obama's comments about its origin. If big business had it its way,
the we'd still be using the slow, proprietary, and expensive network
services such as Prodigy, CompuServe, and America Online that popped
onto the scene around the early 1990's. They were much more
profitable than the Internet because corporations controlled
distribution and content and were happy to milk customers.
However, college kids playing around
with the early Internet and Web services sponsored by universities
realized the potential of a more open alternative capable of sharing
info across different computer brands and networks.
Friday, July 13, 2012
Saturday, June 16, 2012
The Estonia Austerity Myth
Many conservatives began holding Estonia as evidence that austerity works because of Estonia's recent success after cutting back government programs.
However, there are at least two problems with using Estonia as an austerity success case. First is that they went into the recession with a surplus. Dubya spent the USA's surplus and safety margin (while the pre-Tea-Party sat quietly).
Second, they are a small nation such that they can play a similar role as the Cayman Islands (where Mitt hides his profits) as far as tax havens for big companies. This doesn't work in a large nation because the benefits of being a tax haven are too small relative to the population.
I've seen no evidence that austerity works on medium and large nations. The few examples sometimes used are cases where the cut-backs happened before or after a world-wide recession, not during, and are thus not comparable.
However, there are at least two problems with using Estonia as an austerity success case. First is that they went into the recession with a surplus. Dubya spent the USA's surplus and safety margin (while the pre-Tea-Party sat quietly).
Second, they are a small nation such that they can play a similar role as the Cayman Islands (where Mitt hides his profits) as far as tax havens for big companies. This doesn't work in a large nation because the benefits of being a tax haven are too small relative to the population.
I've seen no evidence that austerity works on medium and large nations. The few examples sometimes used are cases where the cut-backs happened before or after a world-wide recession, not during, and are thus not comparable.
Sunday, May 27, 2012
Regulation and Consequences
A relative recently sent me a snippet
from a radio show (rhymes with Tarm Song and Smetty) in which they
promote the idea that the "free market" can replace most
government regulation via organizations like Consumer Reports and
web-based consumer rating agencies.
The argument that private consumer
organizations can get sued if they screw up is questionable. If they
fail to detect bacteria in milk and millions get sick, for example,
are they liable? Most likely there will be a tiny disclaimer at the
bottom of their legal statement that limits their legal risk.
Further, it would be expensive for
consumer reports etc. to inspect every milk factory. Currently they
only test one or a few product samples overall for their reviews.
Also note that dairies pay inspection fees to the government; it
generally doesn't come out of citizen's pockets as income taxes;
although may increase the price of the milk itself as companies pass
on the fees in their price.
I've never heard a consumer service
perform such a service at a large scale. It may make for an
interesting experiment, but please try it on something less risky
than food first. I'm all for testing new ideas, but don't start out
with the Big Kahuna.
As far as financial rating agencies,
many existing agencies gave the banks who were purchasing suspect
home mortgages high marks before the mortgage melt-down. Here's a
quote from an article related to Moody's mortgage-related ratings:
CEO Raymond McDaniel said in written remarks released ahead of his testimony that he was "deeply disappointed" by the performance of the credit ratings issued by Moody's for complex bonds called mortgage-backed securities.
"Moody's is certainly not satisfied with the performance of [our] ratings. Indeed, over the past few years, there has been an intense level of self evaluation within the organization," said McDaniel, the CEO and chairman of a once proud company that has seen its share value slide down with its reputation.
Another example given of alleged excess
regulation is "regular" restaurants banning hot-dog stands
selling meals near themselves because they don't want the
competition. That may be a case of crony capitalism. Restaurants may
be influencing local officials to keep hotdog stands out of their
area. If you have a way to fix crony capitalism, I'm all ears. Voters
typically don't look into those details close enough unless they
"blow up" in the press; and the vast majority of the
details don't.
You might say, "just don't have
ANY regulations about where people can sell food, then the crony
capitalists (such as fixed-location restaurants) can't bribe away
competition." However, there are likely many unintended
consequences of such an over-arching law.
For example, traffic congestion near
high-traffic hotdog vendors or already-full streets. Most new brick-and-mortar
businesses are required to demonstrate they have sufficient parking
facilities so that cars don't spill over into other areas. (And I've
witnessed the annoying problems when they guess wrong.) Or what if
hot-dog grease ends up being dumped all over the pavement with no
trace of who dumped it, causing skids, slips, and deaths.
And if a fly-by-night push-cart stand poisons you and your children with bad meat, you may not even be able to find the company or owner to sue. You can't sue somebody you can't find. It's harder for a brick building renter to skip town. (It's also hard to sue if you are dead.)
And if a fly-by-night push-cart stand poisons you and your children with bad meat, you may not even be able to find the company or owner to sue. You can't sue somebody you can't find. It's harder for a brick building renter to skip town. (It's also hard to sue if you are dead.)
Again, I'm all for testing ideas, but
the result is not likely to be what conservatives think they will be.
They live in an idealistic dream-world. Many a town have passed
zoning laws as a result of organizations abusing the system. Yes, some
such laws and regulations are stupid and worthy of ridicule. But
that's not a reason to toss all laws.
If 10% are bad, does that mean we
should toss 100%? That's not rational. Fox News and Friends will keep
emphasizing the 10% silly laws in an effort to rid all because the
plutocrats pay them to say that. They cherry-pick their evidence and
scenarios to paint an unbalanced picture of regulation. You don't
hear about the majority of good regulations.
In the program, the Food and Drug
Administration (FDA) is allegedly withholding useful new medications
because they are a "slow and bureaucratic" organization.
I've heard complaints both ways regarding when to approve the drugs.
There have been medications that were allegedly released too early,
such as Vioxx, which resulted in potential injury and death. Weighing
the risk is a delicate balance.
Some want individuals to be able to
accept the risks themselves; to purchase whatever risky product or
service they wish. However, society may just end up taking care of
people who screw themselves up, becoming lame zombies, creating
higher insurance rates for us all; and a society perhaps too crippled
or hobbled to work.
Many conservatives want Social
Darwinism where those who make consumption mistakes are just left to
die in the street and as a society we just leave their corpses there
to rot as punishment for their mistakes. (Maybe that's what they'll
make the hotdogs out of.) However, that's not the kind of society I
personally want and I won't vote for that. It would also create a
spreading sociopathic moral rot.
I doubt it would be economically
efficient either because people on average would waste all their
resources recovering from preventable mistakes. We'd be both an
economic dead zone and a bunch of twisted sociopaths that nobody
would want to be associated with.
Before the FDA was formed, a company
once sold a successful weight loss pill. It turned out the pills had
tape-worm spores in them.
(See also our 5/3/2010 article on
regulation & efficiency)
Sunday, May 6, 2012
Saturday, May 5, 2012
Saturday, April 28, 2012
Bush's Screw-Ups, Reminder
- Exaggerating case for war.
- Exaggerating ties between Iraq and Al-Qaeda.
- Lying about "only going to war as last resort".
- Stirring up an international "hate race" with polarizing slogans normally only found in dark comic books.
- Commuting Libby's jail sentence despite being found guilty.
- Violating Geneva conventions on torture.
- Pushing to legalize torture.
- Attempting to abandon habeas Corpus.
- Blaming B. Clinton for financial crisis despite having 8 years to undo any Clinton-era rules he didn't like and hyping the hell out of deregulation.
- Running up huge budget during non-recession.
- Running up the trade deficit.
- Pushing unchecked spying on citizens.
- Allowing no-bid contracts for Iraq contractors.
- Appointing unqualified buddies and unqualified political kiss-ups to key posts; FEMA and DOJ appointees being the most notable.
- Praising and giving medals to administrators who screwed up; "Good Job Brownie" being the most notable, but also giving Medal of Freedom to "slam dunk" Tenet and Bremer.
- Sitting on his ass after being notified of the 2nd plane hitting the tower.
- Letting Bin Laden slip from Torah Borah by under-manning the project.
- Letting private security contractors run amuck in Iraq.
- Trying to let dangerous nations manage our ports.
- Underfunding port security.
- Pushing excessive environmental and safety deregulation.
- Failure to keep negotiating Kyoto protocol.
- Gutted FBI financial probes to focus on "terrism" without giving them new funds.
- Pressuring science community to dilute global warming research.
- Touching world leaders in strange ways.
- Torturing the English language.
- Running the wars poorly. (Even John McCain agreed on this.)
- Strumming guitar and letting Condie go shoe-shopping while N.O. was taking the Mother of All Baths.
- Putting his buddy horse trainer in charge of disaster recovery.
- Tying foreign aide to ineffective "abstinence" programs due to religious beliefs instead of logic.
- Wanting to teach Creationism in schools despite zero field evidence.
- Approving a new Iraqi flag that looked like Israel's.
- Cutting stem-cell and cancer research.
- Underestimating cost of war.
- Keeping the war "off budget"
- Planting gov't operatives to pose as journalists.
- Downplayed relationship with Ken Lay.
- Insulting Europeans with his "elitist" comments.
- Forbidding states from making tougher emission standards than feds.
- Kissing Saudi princes
- Tried to get burger-flipping re-classified as "manufacturing" to jack up the numbers.
- The "Freedom Car" - Used hydrogen cars as a stalling tactic instead of real change.
- Underfunded his Mars ship
- Puked on Japanese Priminister
- Got "doored" by Chinese
- "Not worried" about Bin Laden comment
- Gave excessive tax breaks to oil co's
- Dismissed 7 U.S. Attorneys for their political beliefs
- Walter Reed neglect
- Misplaced Billions in cash in Iraq
- "Catapulting the propaganda" phrase
Saturday, April 21, 2012
Preview: Romney and Obama Debate on Healthcare
Similar to what we did last year,
here's a simulation of a healthcare debate between the president and
Mitt Romney:
Mitt: Obamacare is expensive,
unpopular, and unconstitutional; and as president I will kill it!
Obama: Your Massachusetts version of
the program is supported by almost two-thirds of the state of
Massachusetts (MA).
Mitt: MA's program is different than
Obamacare.
Obama: If you could identify the
differences that would improve it, I'd gladly consider adjustments. I
never said I was against tuning it to improve it. Instead, you and
the GOP just want to kill it outright.
Mitt: It was a program designed to fit
MA and MA's special needs. It was not intended to be a national
solution. [Actually, he once claimed it was, but we'll put that aside
for now.]
Obama: How specifically are the people
of MA significantly different than the nation?
Mitt: Uhhhh.....um... It's
unconstitutional!
Obama: I didn't ask about
constitutionality.
Mitt: If it's unconstitutional, then
the opinions of the people of MA don't matter.
Obama: You are avoiding the question.
Mitt: No, I'm just stating the reality
of the situation.
Obama: I disagree that it's
unconstitutional, and the nation and MA deserve a reply on the MA question. Healthcare
is an important topic.
Mitt: Ask them, not me.
Obama: I guess asking you was indeed a mistake.
Sunday, March 25, 2012
Strange Man Outside, Should I Shoot Him?
Friday, February 10, 2012
Thursday, January 19, 2012
Solyndra, Oil, and Apollo Moon Landings
Moving away from fossil fuels is AT LEAST as important as Apollo was. If Solyndra is the Apollo 1 fire of our day (killing 3 astronauts), so be it! You don't solve big problems without taking risks.
It's about both the environment and the problems caused by funneling money to unfriendly countries and peoples in the Middle East. Third, the supply of oil may dwindle soon as we suck the planet dry.
It's about both the environment and the problems caused by funneling money to unfriendly countries and peoples in the Middle East. Third, the supply of oil may dwindle soon as we suck the planet dry.
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